
đ¸ CRE Borrowing Costs Drop: Why Debt Markets Are Finally Loosening in 2025 đ
đ¸ CRE Borrowing Costs Drop: Why Debt Markets Are Finally Loosening in 2025 đ
đ˘ Lower CRE Loan Rates in 2025: Banks, Agencies & Private Lenders Are Back in the Game đ
CRE Borrowing Costs Drop as Debt Markets Loosen in 2025
After two years of high volatility, the commercial real estate (CRE) debt markets are finally looseningâand borrowing costs are dropping. Rates are down, lenders are re-engaging, and capital is flowing again. For investors and property owners, 2025 is shaping up to be the most favorable financing environment since early 2022.
Hereâs what you need to know, and how Medallion Funds helps you capitalize while this window is open.
Fed Rate Cuts Reignite CRE Lending
The Federal Reserve delivered two rate cuts in 2025, bringing the overnight rate to 3.75%â4%. Even with the 10-year Treasury hovering around 4.1%, borrowing costs for commercial loans have pulled back significantly.
Because spreads have compressed and lenders are competing for deals again, borrowers are now seeing:
¡Agency multifamily debt in the upper-4% range
¡Life company loans in the upper-4% range
¡Bank loans in the low-5% to low-6% range
¡CMBS execution between 5%â7%
¡Debt fund bridge loans between 6%â8%
This is meaningfulâCRE interest rates are down nearly 50 basis points year-over-year.
Banks Are Reentering the Market
2024 was a cleanup year for banks. Many spent the year repairing balance sheets, increasing reserves, and navigating regulatory pressure. But in 2025, theyâre stepping back in.
A few highlights:
¡Bank share of CRE loans over $2.5M rose from 27% in 2024 to 33% in early 2025
¡Still below the pre-2020 norm of 40%, meaning thereâs room to grow
¡Liquidity is improving as regional bank stress eases
¡Regulatory tone has softened since mid-2024
This âbank thawâ is one of the most important drivers behind lower borrowing costs.
Private Lenders & Debt Funds Are Flooding the Market
While banks paused in 2024, private lenders filled the gap. Now theyâre doubling down.
Debt funds raised $24 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, more than double last yearâs pace. Their focus:
¡Bridge loans
¡Value-add projects
¡Repositions
¡Transitional assets
¡Construction-to-perm structures
Because they underwrite with more flexibility, they help push spreads lower across the entire CRE ecosystem.
Rate Snapshot (Q4 2025)
Lender Type
Rate Range
Agency Multifamily
Upper-4%
Life Companies
Upper-4%
Banks
Low-5% to Low-6%
CMBS
5%â7%
Debt Funds
6%â8%
A Cautious Note: The Fed's Path Is Not Guaranteed
Markets originally priced in a 90% chance of another December rate cut. That has dropped to about 70%.
The Fed remains data-dependent. Inflation progress has slowed. Growth is steady but not guaranteed.
Borrowers should see todayâs environment for what it is:
đ A windowânot a guarantee.
Time to Borrow While the Market Is Open
CRE isnât âcheapâ compared to 2020â2021âbut financing today is the best itâs been in years. With lenders flush with capital, spreads narrow, and competition increasing, borrowers have a real opportunity to lock in favorable terms before the next cycle shift.
At Medallion Funds, weâre structuring:
¡Multifamily
¡Industrial
¡Retail
¡Office
¡Mixed-use
¡Construction
¡Bridge-to-perm
âŚacross 600+ lender relationships.
If youâre exploring a refinance, purchase, or bridge loan, now is the time to move.
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Š 2023-2024 Bill Rapp, Medallion Funds LLC, Director of Capital Advisory
